Guru Technical Research

Guru Technical Research
Powered by Blogger.

YOKU remains weak


Price and moving averages:
Youku Tudou has closed below its short term moving average.

Short term moving average is currently below mid term, AND below long term moving averages.

The relationship between price and moving averages is: bearish in short term, and bearish in mid-long term.

Bollinger Bands:
Youku Tudou has closed below the lower band by 3.4%.  This combined with the steep downtrend can suggest that the downward trend in prices has a good chance of continuing.  However, a short-term pull-back inside the bands is likely.

Bollinger Bands are 56.2% narrower than normal.

The narrow width of the bands suggests low volatility as compared to Youku Tudou's normal range.  Therefore, the probability of volatility increasing with a sharp price move has increased for the near-term. The bands have been in this narrow range for 11 bars. The probability of a significant price move increases the longer the bands remain in this narrow range. 

RSI:
The current value for the RSI is 25.060; and below a normal bottom

Failure Swings (also known as support or resistance penetrations or breakouts):

The RSI has just reached its lowest value in the last 14 period(s); this is bearish.

Divergence: The RSI and price are not diverging

CCI = -151.208
Price excursions from the mean price as a statistical variation is now in oversold range and generated a short sell on prior close.

Current rating is -2 
**if not for the current oversold and extreme narrowing of the Bollinger bands, this would be rated -3; however there is a chance of a short term price reversal.

  Tech ratings are 3 to -3 indicating bullish to bearish; a zero is neutral to cautionary. 

This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Use at your own risk.

Disclosure: the firm does not currently hold a position in this stock and has no plans to create a long or short position over the next 5 business days.



0 comments:

Post a Comment